Historic Chases · 2026-04-04 RECONSTRUCTED

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Nightly briefing

Baseball last night

Games of 2026-04-04

A quiet night in baseball — no cycles, no bids, nobody's first anything. The chases did the talking instead.

Andy Pages is hitting OVER .400. Needs a .396 clip the rest of the way to finish at .400.

Andy Pages sits at .500 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.

The so-what: Andrés Giménez is on a 40/40 pace — 2 HR and 2 SB, projecting to 40/40. Only five players have ever done it: Canseco, Bonds, A-Rod, Soriano, and Ohtani. Power and speed in the same season is the whole story from here.

The .400 chase: Andy Pages went 3-for-5 last night and pushed his average up 20 points to .500. He is OVER .400.

History movers: Drake Baldwin — Franchise Home Runs: 3 now, pace 54, record 54 (Matt Olson, 2023); Runs: 9 now, pace 162, record 177 (Babe Ruth, 1921) · Aaron Judge — Franchise Home Runs: 3 now, pace 60.8, record 62 (Aaron Judge, 2022).

That morning's stakes

What we were watching

MUST TRACK: Andrés Giménez is on a 40/40 pace — 2 HR / 2 SB, projecting to 40/40. Every game matters from here.

The .400 burndown: Andy Pages carries a .500 average into today; a .400 finish takes a .396 clip the rest of the way (229-for-578). That is .001 easier than yesterday. A 3-for-4 tonight lowers the requirement to .394; an 0-for-4 raises it to .399.

On this date in 2001, Hideo Nomo of the Red Sox threw a no-hitter.

30/30 watch: Andrés Giménez sits at 2 HR / 2 SB — 28 homers and 28 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 40/40.

Historical intelligence

How the night stacked up

Pace through history

Shea Langeliers versus the great home-run seasons

Shea Langeliers has 5 home runs through 8 team games, 1 ahead of Mark McGwire's 1998 pace at the same checkpoint (4). Comparable chases finished with a median of 25 (95% CI 24-25); 1.5% reached 50 (1-2.2% at 95% confidence), from 1614 comparable seasons.

Retrosheet · verified play-by-play

If the pace holds

A projected top-1 season

If Shea Langeliers finishes at the current projection of 101, it would be the most home runs in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025

Franchise pressure

A franchise record is under pressure

The single-season record is 54 home runs, set by Matt Olson in 2023. Drake Baldwin projects to 54 and would tie it.

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025

Only X seasons ever

Shea Langeliers is building a rare combination

At his current pace, Shea Langeliers would reach at least .300 AVG, 60 HR, and 150 RBI. Only 3 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. It is the tightest of 4 statistical combinations the engine checked. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (2001), Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).

SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025

Closest to .400