No history was made last night, but the box scores still talked: Peyton Pallette earned his first career win; Dane Myers hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 22 ▶︎ watch.
Historic Chases · 2026-04-21 RECONSTRUCTED
Nightly briefing
Baseball last night
Taylor Ward has 12 doubles — projecting to 81, +2 vs Earl Webb's 67 pace. That pace would be the most doubles in any season since 1901. Needs 38 more to reach 50.
Andy Pages sits at .366 — the last .400 season was Ted Williams in 1941.
The so-what: Oneil Cruz is on a 40/40 pace — 6 HR and 10 SB, projecting to 42/70. Only five players have ever done it: Canseco, Bonds, A-Rod, Soriano, and Ohtani. Neither half carries it alone; the season has to finish on both.
History movers: Sal Stewart — Franchise RBI: 24 now, pace 162, record 149 (George Foster, 1977); Franchise Home Runs: 8 now, pace 54, record 52 (George Foster, 1977) · Yordan Alvarez — Triple Crown (MLB).
Lines of the night: Munetaka Murakami, Miguel Vargas, Colson Montgomery went BACK-TO-BACK-TO-BACK; Sam Antonacci hit an INSIDE-THE-PARK home run — a half-dozen or so happen a season ▶︎ watch; Ke'Bryan Hayes hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 22 ▶︎ watch; Jakob Marsee hit his first home run of the season — in his game No. 24 ▶︎ watch.
That morning's stakes
What we were watching
MUST TRACK: Oneil Cruz is on a 40/40 pace — 6 HR / 10 SB, projecting to 42/70. Every game matters from here.
Streak ladder: the Mets have lost 12 straight — 9 shy of the 2024 White Sox (AL record) (21); 11 shy of the 1961 Phillies (modern record) (23).
On this date in 2018, Sean Manaea of the Athletics threw a no-hitter (one of 3 thrown on this date).
30/30 watch: Oneil Cruz sits at 6 HR / 10 SB — 24 homers and 20 steals short of a 30/30 season, projecting to 42/70.
Historical intelligence
How the night stacked up
Yordan Alvarez versus the great home-run seasons
Yordan Alvarez has 10 home runs through 25 team games, 1 behind Barry Bonds's 2001 pace at the same checkpoint (11). Comparable chases finished with a median of 34 (95% CI 32-35); 5% reached 50 (3.3-7.5% at 95% confidence), from 437 comparable seasons.
Retrosheet · verified play-by-playA projected top-1 season
If Ernie Clement finishes at the current projection of 70, it would be the most doubles in any season since 1901 — no season on record has finished higher.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025A franchise record is under pressure
The single-season record is 121 RBI, set by Carlos Peña in 2007. Yandy Díaz projects to 120 and would finish 1 short.
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Yordan Alvarez is building a rare combination
At his current pace, Yordan Alvarez would reach at least 190 hits, and 60 HR. Only 2 completed seasons in the configured historical cohort reached every mark. It is the tightest of 2 statistical combinations the engine checked. The recent company includes Sammy Sosa (1998), Babe Ruth (1927).
SABR Lahman Baseball Database · through 2025Closest to .400
.366AVG
5 consecutive hits needed to reach .400
LONG SHOT
Home Run Leader
10HR
65 projected HR · 1 behind Bonds's 73 pace
Hits Leader
31H
209 projected H · 8 behind Suzuki's 262 pace
Stolen Base Leader
11SB
71 projected SB · 9 behind Henderson's 130 pace
Doubles Leader
122B
81 projected 2B · +2 vs Webb's 67 pace
Triples Leader
33B
21 projected 3B · 2 behind Wilson's 36 pace
Triple Crown Watch (MLB)
.330· 10 HR · 24 RBI
4 / 1 / 1 in AVG/HR/RBI league ranks — full board on the Watch page
30/30 Club Pace
6/10HR/SB
42/70 projected HR/SB · team-game pace · 11 others in the hunt
ON PACE
Wins Leader (Team)
Braves
16W
108 projected wins · record 116
NEAR PACE
Run Differential Leader
Braves
+55
+371 projected run differential