84% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Fernando Tatis Jr. is top-10 in the majors in hits and stolen bases
He is 6th in hits at 154, 6th in stolen bases at 31 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.
The case in 30 seconds
- 154 6th in hits at 154, 6th in stolen bases at 31 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- Surging: Fernando Tatis Jr. has pushed his home run pace from 16 to 22 in three weeks — 7 in 19 games where his own rate predicted 1.9. One of 73 pace comparisons run tonight. nightly anomaly scan, player id matched
The honest caveat
A top-ten finish is a position on a board, not a verdict on a player. The men just below him on it are not meaningfully worse, and one good week moves several places.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 6th in hits at 154, 6th in stolen bases at 31 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- Surging: Fernando Tatis Jr. has pushed his home run pace from 16 to 22 in three weeks — 7 in 19 games where his own rate predicted 1.9. One of 73 pace comparisons run tonight. nightly anomaly scan, player id matched
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Fernando Tatis Jr. is climbing fast.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 79 Longest Ball Historic · STATCAST only one tracked
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
1 RBI
L 3-4 vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-01
carries a .284 average into today
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 420 | .276 | 11 | 53 | .745 |
| vs LHP | 123 | .309 | 8 | 17 | .986 |
| Home | 252 | .321 | 7 | 33 | .860 |
| Away | 291 | .251 | 12 | 37 | .745 |
| Day | 199 | .276 | 6 | 26 | .763 |
| Night | 344 | .288 | 13 | 44 | .821 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
138G
543AB
154H
.284AVG
19HR
70RBI
31SB
292B
23B
.799OPS
Chasing .400
.284Current AVG
106Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
104-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.111Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (100-for-90)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .284 | .284 | .756 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .284 | .284 | .967 ROS | EXTREME |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .284 | .284 | 1.111 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .284 | .284 | 1.144 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .284 | .284 | 1.567 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 19 | 22 | 31 in 23 g · 1 per 2.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 19 | 22 | 41 in 23 g · 1 per 2.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 19 | 22 | 43 in 23 g · 1 per 2.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 19 | 22 | 51 in 23 g · 1 per 1.8 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 19 | 22 | 54 in 23 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 154 | 179 | 46 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 154 | 179 | 71 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 154 | 179 | 96 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 154 | 179 | 108 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 31 | 36 | 19 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 31 | 36 | 49 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 31 | 36 | 69 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 31 | 36 | 99 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 29 | 34 | 21 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 29 | 34 | 31 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 29 | 34 | 38 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 2 | 2 | 18 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 2 | 2 | 23 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 2 | 2 | 34 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 70 | 82 | 55 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 70 | 82 | 80 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 70 | 82 | 105 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 70 | 82 | 121 in 23 g | EXTREME |
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=2120); median finish 21. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cincinnati Reds | L 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .284 |
| 2026-08-31 | Cincinnati Reds | W 5-0 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .283 |
| 2026-08-30 | Tampa Bay Rays | L 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .282 |
| 2026-08-29 | Tampa Bay Rays | L 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .284 |
| 2026-08-28 | Tampa Bay Rays | L 4-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .285 |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | W 3-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .285 |
| 2026-08-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .287 |
| 2026-08-24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | L 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .287 |
| 2026-08-23 | Minnesota Twins | W 8-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .290 |
| 2026-08-22 | Minnesota Twins | W 7-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .285 |
Recent highlights
▶︎
Fernando Tatis Jr.'s second home run of the game (19)2026-09-01 · Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 2 home runs
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Fernando Tatis Jr.'s second home run of the game2026-08-23 · Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 2 home runs, driving in 4
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Fernando Tatis Jr.'s leadoff home run (14)2026-08-18 · Fernando Tatis Jr. hit 2 home runs
Lahman + Retrosheet context