92% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Wilyer Abreu leads the majors in doubles
Through 137 games he is first in doubles. It is a real league lead in a category that depends on opportunity as much as on the hitter, so the rate statistics below are the better read on how he has hit.
The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.
The case in 30 seconds
- 34 No. 1 in doubles on MLB's own leaderboards — 34 doubles MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .260 .808 OPS, 23 home runs, 70 RBI and 8 stolen bases over 137 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 599 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Baltimore Orioles.
Every claim above, with its source (3)
- No. 1 in doubles on MLB's own leaderboards — 34 doubles MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in doubles on MLB's leaderboard MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- .808 OPS, 23 home runs, 70 RBI and 8 stolen bases over 137 games snapshot batting board — the union of MLB's top-10 hitting boards, then MLB's 3.1 PA per team game rule applied; not the league's full qualified pool
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 55 Doubles Notable · WATCH No. 1 of 3doubles chases 34 record 67 — Earl Webb, 1931 40projected, against 50 · extreme
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
3-for-4
L 6-9 vs Seattle Mariners · 2026-09-01
carries a .260 average into today
What to watch next
at Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 7:15 p.m. ET
Facing Brandon Young
Wilyer Abreu faces a right-hander in Brandon Young. He is hitting .238 with 17 home runs in 370 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 370 | .238 | 17 | 47 | .762 |
| vs LHP | 154 | .312 | 6 | 23 | .918 |
| Home | 257 | .261 | 10 | 42 | .788 |
| Away | 267 | .258 | 13 | 28 | .828 |
| Day | 189 | .254 | 7 | 19 | .765 |
| Night | 335 | .263 | 16 | 51 | .834 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
137G
524AB
136H
.260AVG
23HR
70RBI
8SB
342B
43B
.808OPS
Chasing .400
.260Current AVG
123Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
114-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.253Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (109-for-87)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .260 | .260 | .897 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .260 | .260 | 1.115 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .260 | .260 | 1.253 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .260 | .260 | 1.299 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .260 | .260 | 1.713 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 23 | 27 | 27 in 23 g · 1 per 3.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 23 | 27 | 37 in 23 g · 1 per 2.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 23 | 27 | 39 in 23 g · 1 per 2.2 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 23 | 27 | 47 in 23 g · 1 per 1.8 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 23 | 27 | 50 in 23 g · 1 per 1.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 136 | 159 | 64 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 136 | 159 | 89 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 136 | 159 | 114 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 136 | 159 | 126 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 8 | 9 | 42 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 8 | 9 | 72 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 8 | 9 | 92 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 8 | 9 | 122 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 34 | 40 | 16 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 34 | 40 | 26 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 34 | 40 | 33 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 4 | 5 | 16 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 4 | 5 | 21 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 4 | 5 | 32 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 70 | 82 | 55 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 70 | 82 | 80 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 70 | 82 | 105 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 70 | 82 | 121 in 23 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
0%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 38.400 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 36.870 after regressing toward the league's 30.360 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 26.0, against a straight team-game pace of 27. Exact beta-binomial over 99 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=1485); median finish 25. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners | L 6-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .260 |
| 2026-08-31 | Seattle Mariners | W 9-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .256 |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees | L 1-16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .257 |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees | W 6-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .254 |
| 2026-04-17 | Detroit Tigers | W 1-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .314 |
| 2026-04-14 | Minnesota Twins | L 0-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .333 |
| 2026-04-13 | Minnesota Twins | L 6-13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .355 |
| 2026-04-12 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 9-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .339 |
| 2026-04-11 | St. Louis Cardinals | W 7-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .364 |
| 2026-04-10 | St. Louis Cardinals | L 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .392 |
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 139 team games; 59 in 2001