89% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Ceddanne Rafaela is top-10 in the majors in doubles and hits
He is 5th in doubles at 32, 10th in hits at 151 — placements on MLB's own season boards, which rank every QUALIFIED hitter in the sport rather than the few dozen this site tracks. Qualified is MLB's own bar, and it is the reason a part-season player with a big number is not on these boards at all.
The story changed tonight — this page led with a different case yesterday.
The case in 30 seconds
- 32 5th in doubles at 32, 10th in hits at 151 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 151 151 hits, past his previous best of 136 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 569 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
Next up: at Baltimore Orioles.
Every claim above, with its source (2)
- 5th in doubles at 32, 10th in hits at 151 on MLB's season leaderboards MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- 151 hits, past his previous best of 136 in 2025 year-by-year record, 2 prior seasons since 2024 (MLB Stats API, cached)
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Ceddanne Rafaela has already passed his career best in hits.
The evidence
What changed last night
1-for-3
L 6-9 vs Seattle Mariners · 2026-09-01
carries a .282 average into today
What to watch next
at Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 7:15 p.m. ET
Facing Brandon Young
Ceddanne Rafaela faces a right-hander in Brandon Young. He is hitting .286 with 11 home runs in 395 at-bats against right-handers this season.
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 395 | .286 | 11 | 44 | .746 |
| vs LHP | 140 | .271 | 5 | 26 | .801 |
| Home | 271 | .288 | 6 | 36 | .739 |
| Away | 264 | .277 | 10 | 34 | .783 |
| Day | 203 | .281 | 3 | 21 | .735 |
| Night | 332 | .283 | 13 | 49 | .776 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
135G
535AB
151H
.282AVG
16HR
70RBI
17SB
322B
33B
.760OPS
Chasing .400
.282Current AVG
105Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
103-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.112Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (99-for-89)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .282 | .282 | .764 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .282 | .282 | .978 ROS | EXTREME |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .282 | .282 | 1.112 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .282 | .282 | 1.157 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .282 | .282 | 1.573 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 16 | 19 | 34 in 23 g · 1 per 2.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 16 | 19 | 44 in 23 g · 1 per 2.0 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 16 | 19 | 46 in 23 g · 1 per 1.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 16 | 19 | 54 in 23 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 16 | 19 | 57 in 23 g · 1 per 1.6 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 151 | 176 | 49 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 151 | 176 | 74 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 151 | 176 | 99 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 151 | 176 | 111 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 17 | 20 | 33 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 17 | 20 | 63 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 17 | 20 | 83 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 17 | 20 | 113 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 32 | 37 | 18 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 32 | 37 | 28 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 32 | 37 | 35 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 3 | 3 | 17 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 3 | 3 | 22 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 3 | 3 | 33 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 70 | 82 | 55 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 70 | 82 | 80 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 70 | 82 | 105 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 70 | 82 | 121 in 23 g | EXTREME |
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
0.0%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=2626); median finish 18. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners | L 6-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .282 |
| 2026-08-31 | Seattle Mariners | W 9-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .282 |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees | L 1-16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .282 |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees | W 6-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .284 |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Yankees | L 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .287 |
| 2026-08-26 | Miami Marlins | L 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .285 |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins | W 7-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .288 |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins | W 4-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .289 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Francisco Giants | W 5-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .289 |
| 2026-08-22 | San Francisco Giants | W 3-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .286 |
Lahman + Retrosheet context