88% season-shape match
Why he matters right now
Sal Stewart leads the majors in RBI
Through 140 games he is first in RBI — the kind of line that decides awards.
This has been his headline for 13 straight days.
The case in 30 seconds
- 105 No. 1 in RBI on MLB's own leaderboards — 105 RBI MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- on the 2026 rookie leaderboard (31 HR) snapshot rookie_leaders board
The honest caveat
It is still a partial season — 607 plate appearances so far. A rate moves fastest against the strongest arms a schedule has left, and the schedule ahead is not the schedule behind.
What to watch next
20 more to reach 125 RBI.
Every claim above, with its source (3)
- No. 1 in RBI on MLB's own leaderboards — 105 RBI MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- No. 1 in RBI on MLB's leaderboard MLB season leaderboard (the league's own top-10 board of qualified players, not this site's roster)
- on the 2026 rookie leaderboard (31 HR) snapshot rookie_leaders board
Other cases this page considered and did not lead with: Sal Stewart is doing this in his first big-league season.
The evidence
Tracked on Live Chases
- 57-1 RBI Notable · WATCH No. 1 of 3rbi chases 105 record 191 — Hack Wilson, 1930 122projected, against 125 · near pace
The score is an editorial score, not a measurement on a common scale. The rank above is this player's position on his own category's board — the ordering the site stands behind. See all tracked chases →
What changed last night
0-for-4
W 4-3 vs San Diego Padres · 2026-09-01
carries a .266 average into today
Situational splits
| Split | AB | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP | 410 | .259 | 23 | 82 | .796 |
| vs LHP | 128 | .289 | 8 | 23 | .901 |
| Home | 265 | .257 | 14 | 48 | .818 |
| Away | 273 | .275 | 17 | 57 | .824 |
| Day | 217 | .244 | 14 | 41 | .813 |
| Night | 321 | .280 | 17 | 64 | .827 |
2026 season, MLB Stats API. A split with no plate appearances is omitted rather than shown as zeroes.
140G
538AB
143H
.266AVG
31HR
105RBI
12SB
252B
03B
.821OPS
Chasing .400
.266Current AVG
121Consecutive hits needed to reach .400
113-for-100Needed over next 100 AB
1.213Rest-of-season AVG to finish .400 (108-for-89)
Status: IMPOSSIBLE
Milestone tracker
| Chase | Target | Current | Pace | Needed from here | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .350 AVG | .350 | .266 | .266 | .865 ROS | EXTREME |
| .380 AVG | .380 | .266 | .266 | 1.079 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .400 AVG | .400 | .266 | .266 | 1.213 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .406 AVG | .406 | .266 | .266 | 1.258 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| .466 AVG | .466 | .266 | .266 | 1.685 ROS | IMPOSSIBLE |
| 50 HR | 50 | 31 | 36 | 19 in 23 g · 1 per 4.7 AB | EXTREME |
| 60 HR | 60 | 31 | 36 | 29 in 23 g · 1 per 3.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 62 HR | 62 | 31 | 36 | 31 in 23 g · 1 per 2.9 AB | EXTREME |
| 70 HR | 70 | 31 | 36 | 39 in 23 g · 1 per 2.3 AB | EXTREME |
| 73 HR | 73 | 31 | 36 | 42 in 23 g · 1 per 2.1 AB | EXTREME |
| 200 Hits | 200 | 143 | 167 | 57 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 225 Hits | 225 | 143 | 167 | 82 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 250 Hits | 250 | 143 | 167 | 107 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 262 Hits | 262 | 143 | 167 | 119 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 SB | 50 | 12 | 14 | 38 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 80 SB | 80 | 12 | 14 | 68 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 100 SB | 100 | 12 | 14 | 88 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 130 SB | 130 | 12 | 14 | 118 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 50 2B | 50 | 25 | 29 | 25 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 60 2B | 60 | 25 | 29 | 35 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 67 2B | 67 | 25 | 29 | 42 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 20 3B | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 25 3B | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 36 3B | 36 | 0 | 0 | 36 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 125 RBI | 125 | 105 | 122 | 20 in 23 g | NEAR PACE |
| 150 RBI | 150 | 105 | 122 | 45 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 175 RBI | 175 | 105 | 122 | 70 in 23 g | EXTREME |
| 191 RBI | 191 | 105 | 122 | 86 in 23 g | EXTREME |
How likely is the finish?
1%finishes with 40+ home runs
0%finishes with 50+ home runs
0%finishes with 60+ home runs
His rate of 51.070 home runs per 1,000 plate appearances is read as 47.190 after regressing toward the league's 30.360 — a leaderboard selects for players who have outperformed, so an unregressed rate projected forward overstates every one of them. That puts the expected finish at 34.9, against a straight team-game pace of 36. Exact beta-binomial over 100 remaining plate appearances, averaged across playing-time scenarios. Calibrated against Retrosheet finishes: within 7 points of observed frequency in every band, and within 2 in three of five. It is a model, not a measurement.
Home run pace vs the benchmark seasons
4.2%of comparable chases reached 40 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 50 HR
0.0%of comparable chases reached 60 HR
Empirical: seasons within ±2 HR of his total at the same team-game checkpoint (n=576); median finish 34. Retrosheet.
Recent game log
Derived nightly from the snapshot ledger — each row is the difference between consecutive days; multi-day rows are labeled.
| Date | Opp | Result | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | SB | BB | K | AVG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | San Diego Padres | W 4-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .266 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Diego Padres | L 0-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .268 |
| 2026-08-30 | Chicago Cubs | W 7-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .266 |
| 2026-08-29 | Chicago Cubs | L 5-17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .265 |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs | W 10-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .263 |
| 2026-08-26 | San Francisco Giants | W 10-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .261 |
| 2026-08-25 | San Francisco Giants | L 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .263 |
| 2026-08-24 | San Francisco Giants | L 0-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .263 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Diamondbacks | L 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .263 |
| 2026-08-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks | W 11-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .262 |
Lahman + Retrosheet context
How this season fits history
Through 139 team games; 59 in 2001